OpenAI annualised revenues $20B less than previously signalled
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/08/open-ai-revenue-nvidia-oracle-coreweave.html📌 OpenAI年化營收比傳言少200億美元,AI供應鏈股集體下跌
TL;DR:OpenAI向投資人揭露的年化營收低於先前傳言,牽動Nvidia等AI概念股重挫。
一個財務數字的「校正」,讓Nvidia、Oracle、CoreWeave的股價在同一天齊跌,背後牽涉的是整個AI供應鏈估值的敏感神經。
🤔 發生什麼事
CNBC證實,OpenAI告知投資人其截至九月底的年化營收約為500億美元,低於上月廣泛流傳的680億美元。消息人士指出,680億美元這個數字當時包含了OpenAI合作夥伴的毛營收,目的是方便投資人與競爭對手Anthropic做更直接的比較。這項財務更新是OpenAI在一份投資人簡報中揭露的,《金融時報》最先報導500億美元這個數字。消息公布後,Nvidia股價下跌3%,Oracle下跌近6%,CoreWeave下跌近8%,AMD下跌4%,Broadcom下跌4%,Intel下跌5%,Super Micro Computer下跌近5%。
📊 數字背後的脈絡
除了500億美元的年化營收,OpenAI同時指出第三季整體run rate成長77%,企業業務run rate成長107%。作為對照,Anthropic在8月向投資人透露,截至7月底的年化營收run rate達650億美元;路透引述一份外流的招股書草稿指出,Anthropic在2025年的營收為46億美元,淨損則高達420億美元。獨立財務研究機構New Constructs在報告中稱Anthropic即將進行的上市案是「2026年最荒謬的IPO」,僅將其估值為1500億美元。
💡 為何這個數字牽動這麼多人
OpenAI目前面臨證明其8520億美元估值的壓力,公司已在6月向主管機關機密申報招股書,高層也暗示預計在2027年掛牌。CEO Sam Altman在9月曾表示,考量到外界對AI安全的持續關切,「現在是不智之舉」去進行公開上市;OpenAI近期也撤回了GPT-6.1 Astra的發布計畫,理由是該模型未達到其安全標準。在等待上市的同時,OpenAI正與投資人就新一輪募資進行早期討論,規模可能約300億美元(金額仍可能變動,且尚未有term sheet定案),這是繼今年3月完成1220億美元歷史性募資輪之後的新動作;OpenAI財務長Sarah Friar上週也向CNBC表示公司仍「資本相當雄厚」。Anthropic同樣在籌備大型IPO,雖未正式公布時程,但據報已在與潛在投資人洽談,尋求2萬億美元的估值。
🎯 實務啟示
對身處AI產業鏈的工程師與團隊而言,這類營收數字的落差提醒大家:目前被廣泛引用的「年化營收」口徑並不統一,有些包含合作夥伴的毛營收、有些不包含,拿來做公司間比較時需要格外小心。更現實的意義是,當基礎模型廠商的營收與估值敘事出現裂縫,資本市場對晶片、雲端算力供應商的信心也會連帶波動,這會直接影響到下游團隊在算力採購、長期合約議價時面對的市場氣氛。
🔗 來源
- 標題:OpenAI annualised revenues $20B less than previously signalled
- 作者/機構:CNBC(經Hacker News討論串轉載,提交者mfiguiere)
- 連結:https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/08/open-ai-revenue-nvidia-oracle-coreweave.html
#OpenAI #Anthropic #AIStocks #Nvidia #Oracle #CoreWeave #IPO #TechFinance #ArtificialIntelligence #VentureCapital
原始資料 Hacker News · 收集於 2026-10-09
摘要原文
Key Points AI stocks, including Nvidia, Oracle and CoreWeave, sank after the market learned more details about OpenAI's revenue. OpenAI told investors that it hit roughly $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September, CNBC confirmed, lower than the the $68 billion figure widely reported late last month. A person familiar with the matter said the $68 billion figure included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, which helps investors make a more direct comparison with Anthropic. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, is speaking at the AI company's developer conference on Sept. 29, 2026. Andrej Sokolow | Picture Alliance | Getty Images Shares of Nvidia , Oracle , CoreWeave and other artificial intelligence names sank lower on Thursday after the market learned more details about OpenAI's revenue. OpenAI told investors that it hit roughly $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September, CNBC confirmed, lower than the the $68 billion figure that was widely reported late last month. A person familiar with the matter said the $68 billion figure included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, which helps investors make a more direct comparison with its chief rival, Anthropic . The Financial Times was first to report the $50 billion figure. OpenAI shared an update about its finances in an investor presentation, said the person, who asked not to be named in order to discuss the numbers. In addition to the $50 billion in annualized revenue, OpenAI touted 77% total run rate growth during its third quarter, as well as 107% run rate growth for its enterprise business during the same period, the person said. Nvidia shares fell 3%, Oracle shares fell nearly 6% and CoreWeave shares slipped nearly 8% on Thursday. Additionally, Advanced Micro Devices fell 4%, Broadcom fell 4%, Intel fell 5% and Super Micro Computer fell nearly 5%. OpenAI is under pressure to justify its $852 billion valuation to investors as it gears up for what is widely expected to be a blockbuster IPO. OpenAI confidentially filed its prospectus with regulators in June, and executives have signaled that the company is eyeing a 2027 debut . Anthropic is also readying for a major IPO . The company has not officially disclosed when it plans to debut, but it's been engaging in meetings with prospective investors and is reportedly seeking a $2 trillion valuation. In August, Anthropic told investors that its annualized revenue run rate hit $65 billion at the end of July. In a report on Tuesday, independent financial research provider New Constructs called Anthropic's upcoming offering the "most ridiculous IPO of 2026," and valued the company at a mere $150 billion. Anthropic's revenue in 2025 was $4.6 billion as the company racked up a net loss of $42 billion, according to Reuters , which cited a leaked copy of the company's prospectus. Both Anthropic and OpenAI have been at the center of a fierce debate over AI safety, after a growing chorus of researchers warned that the companies' models could potentially cause catastrophic harm. OpenAI has disclosed several incidents where its models behaved in unintended ways, and the company recently pulled its plans to launch GPT-6.1 Astra, saying the model did not meet its safety standards. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in September that "right now would be an ill-advised moment to go public," in part because of the ongoing concerns around safety. As OpenAI bides its time, the company is engaging in early stage discussions with investors about a potential new funding round. The company could raise around $30 billion, CNBC previously reported, but that figure could change. The round is being driven by investor demand and no term sheet has been finalized yet. OpenAI closed a historic $122 billion funding round in March, and CFO Sarah Friar told CNBC last week that it is still "very well capitalized." WATCH: OpenAI annualized revenues $20 billion less than previously signaled: Report watch now VIDEO 4:39 04:39 OpenAI annualized revenues $20 billion less than previously signaled: Report The Exchange Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news. (421 points, 296 comments on Hacker News)
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